1 00:00:00,460 --> 00:00:07,270 Previously, we talked about future value, where we saw that if you invest 100 dollars today, you 2 00:00:07,270 --> 00:00:08,920 will get more money in the future. 3 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:18,630 Correspondingly, if someone promises to give you hundred dollars in the future, the present value 4 00:00:18,630 --> 00:00:20,760 of that is less than hundred dollars. 5 00:00:22,510 --> 00:00:26,830 In this lecture, we are going to discuss the concept behind present value. 6 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:33,340 In this lecture and throughout this course will denote present value by Bebe. 7 00:00:35,300 --> 00:00:43,580 Now, I can say that Bibi is that initial sum of money, which, if I invest today at the best possible 8 00:00:43,670 --> 00:00:48,500 risk free investment rate, will then turn into hundred dollars. 9 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:54,270 Let me highlight the important times in the last line I just said. 10 00:00:56,390 --> 00:00:58,370 BP is the initial investment. 11 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:07,920 And I'm putting it in the risk free, risk free means that I am certain that I will get that return. 12 00:01:10,230 --> 00:01:17,220 I said best possible risk free, because there are several types of risk free opportunities, it could 13 00:01:17,220 --> 00:01:19,470 be saving the money as a deposit in a bank. 14 00:01:20,730 --> 00:01:26,600 It could be a fixed deposit or government bond and many more such opportunities. 15 00:01:27,850 --> 00:01:31,570 But we are choosing the one with the highest rate of return. 16 00:01:35,210 --> 00:01:42,530 So I suppose the best option available to you at the risk free rate is a fixed deposit, which is giving 17 00:01:42,530 --> 00:01:43,820 you eight percent return. 18 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:55,820 Then the present value of this hundred dollar will be a hundred, divided by one plus zero point zero 19 00:01:55,820 --> 00:01:58,460 eight, which is for the interest rate. 20 00:02:00,580 --> 00:02:03,700 Then the present value comes to be ninety two point six. 21 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:14,380 This means that having hundred dollars after one year is like having ninety two point six dollars today 22 00:02:15,010 --> 00:02:17,100 and making a fixed deposit out of it. 23 00:02:21,430 --> 00:02:29,920 Now, why are we calculating the present value, we calculate the present value to evaluate the investment 24 00:02:29,920 --> 00:02:30,540 opportunity. 25 00:02:32,070 --> 00:02:38,880 Generally, if the present value of the future cash flows is more then the investment you are doing 26 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:39,300 today. 27 00:02:40,780 --> 00:02:43,990 Then the investment option is considered as a good option. 28 00:02:45,780 --> 00:02:50,850 And if you have two investment options with different amounts and periods of return. 29 00:02:52,140 --> 00:02:54,630 You can compare them also using the present value. 30 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:02,730 For example, suppose you have these two investment options option and option B. 31 00:03:04,050 --> 00:03:09,330 And both of them, you are investing a thousand dollars in the beginning. 32 00:03:10,950 --> 00:03:15,870 And the first option, you are getting 250 dollars for the next five years. 33 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:23,790 And in the second option, you're getting 600 dollars, but for the next two years only. 34 00:03:26,110 --> 00:03:30,880 The best possible interest rate that you can get is 10 percent. 35 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:38,040 Now, which of these two options is the better option for investing your thousand dollars? 36 00:03:39,660 --> 00:03:45,960 For this, we will calculate the present value of the five future cash flows. 37 00:03:49,210 --> 00:03:56,500 For the first year, it is 250, divided by one plus zero point one race to the Power-One. 38 00:03:57,570 --> 00:04:03,180 Zero point one, because it is 10 percent interest and power, one because it is the first year. 39 00:04:04,410 --> 00:04:09,900 For the second year, the power will be to 438, the power will be three and so on. 40 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:19,180 We add all these future cash flows and subtract the initial investment that we do in this investment 41 00:04:19,180 --> 00:04:25,280 opportunity, the initial investment is done at year zero. 42 00:04:25,510 --> 00:04:27,700 So there is no discounting of this money. 43 00:04:30,790 --> 00:04:35,740 When we calculate this, the present value comes out to be negative to two point three. 44 00:04:37,550 --> 00:04:45,740 This means that it is better to investors thousand dollars at 10 percent interest rate and the best 45 00:04:45,860 --> 00:04:47,720 risk free opportunity that you have. 46 00:04:49,670 --> 00:04:55,340 So whichever opportunity, for example, if it is a fixed deposit and it is giving you 10 percent interest 47 00:04:55,340 --> 00:05:00,350 rate, it is better to put your thousand dollars there than investing in this option A. 48 00:05:02,750 --> 00:05:04,040 Now, let us look at option B. 49 00:05:05,490 --> 00:05:06,960 The calculation is same. 50 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:14,750 The only difference is that the payment is for two years and it is of six hundred dollars. 51 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:23,610 We discounted using the present value formulas and subtract the initial investment out of it, so the 52 00:05:23,610 --> 00:05:26,700 net present value that we get is forty one point three. 53 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:36,300 This is positive, which means that this investment opportunity is better than the best risk free opportunity 54 00:05:36,300 --> 00:05:36,840 that you have. 55 00:05:37,710 --> 00:05:40,680 So this option is a good investment opportunity. 56 00:05:42,380 --> 00:05:50,450 And out of option, and B, also, whichever option gives you a higher present value, that is the better 57 00:05:50,450 --> 00:05:50,780 option. 58 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:58,750 Not that theoretically, there is no difference between present value or net present value. 59 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:07,680 But often in software tools, the pre function and the NPV function handle different types of scenarios. 60 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:13,760 So even though they are actually the same thing, softwares may use these terms differently. 61 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:20,500 So in the letters, we will be using Bibi and Bibi interchangeably. 62 00:06:24,170 --> 00:06:31,970 NPV is a very important concept, and it is often used for the purpose of valuation, such as valuation 63 00:06:31,970 --> 00:06:36,050 of a company or valuation of a customer and many such things. 64 00:06:37,110 --> 00:06:43,770 So you must ensure that you understand the concept as well as learn its implementation in the software 65 00:06:43,770 --> 00:06:44,070 tool. 66 00:06:45,750 --> 00:06:47,670 I'll summarize the counterpart here. 67 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:57,890 So NPB or Pewee is the amount of money that if you invest today at the best available risk free rate. 68 00:06:58,890 --> 00:07:04,170 Is equivalent to the expected future returns from the investment. 69 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:14,640 If NBP is positive, it means that it makes more sense to invest the money in that opportunity instead 70 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:18,840 of putting the money in the best available risk free option. 71 00:07:22,090 --> 00:07:30,730 When you have two or more investment options, whichever has positive and higher NPV is the better option 72 00:07:30,730 --> 00:07:32,050 available for investing. 73 00:07:34,630 --> 00:07:39,250 Now, let's check out the implementation and modeling of NPB in our software.